July 5, 2010

Gallup: Pantload sinks..

Although it's hard to read the graph, it certainly is easy to see that Obama's numbers have been suffering in the Daily Gallup from the graph below:


Here are the hard numbers from the end of May until now (Date, Approve, Disapprove):

"May 29-Jun 1, 2010,50,44"
"May 30-Jun 2, 2010,49,45"
"Jun 1-3, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 2-4, 2010,46,47"
"Jun 3-5, 2010,45,47"
"Jun 4-6, 2010,47,44"
"Jun 5-7, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 6-8, 2010,47,45"
"Jun 7-9, 2010,44,48"
"Jun 8-10, 2010,45,48"
"Jun 9-11, 2010,44,48"
"Jun 10-12, 2010,46,46"
"Jun 11-13, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 12-14, 2010,49,44"
"Jun 13-15, 2010,49,43"
"Jun 14-16, 2010,46,44"
"Jun 15-17, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 16-18, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 17-19, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 18-20, 2010,49,44"
"Jun 19-21, 2010,48,45"
"Jun 20-22, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 21-23, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 22-24, 2010,45,45"
"Jun 23-25, 2010,46,46"
"Jun 24-26, 2010,45,46"
"Jun 25-27, 2010,46,46"
"Jun 26-28, 2010,46,45"
"Jun 27-29, 2010,46,45"
"Jun 28-30, 2010,47,45"
"Jun 29-Jul 1, 2010,49,44"
"Jun 30-Jul 2, 2010,47,46"
"Jul 1-3, 2010,46,45"

..and while the numbers are susceptible to noise, plainly the lines are converging and, like Rasmussen, there will be a point where the Approval will cross over the Disapproval forever and then it's sayonara. (By the way, Gallup has a cool button on that page that allows you to download a .csv file of the hard numbers. If you don't know what a .csv file is, then you probably would not be interest in the hard numbers anyway.)

If I recall correctly, Gallup is among those polls who oversample in one category or another and, a while ago, Rush Limbaugh claimed it oversampled blacks to keep Obama's numbers high.

..no matter how thin you slice the baloney, if I am a president who's Rasmussen and Gallup were in the forties with a midterm election coming up, I am not going to be having my aides booking tee times for me.

..but then again.

UPDATE: Ask and ye shall receive. Weasel Zippers has a very recent post about Obama and Bush and black voters. Here's the clip:


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